Analysts: GTA V to launch before summer 2012, will sell 20 million+

Wednesday, 2nd November 2011 22:33 GMT By Brenna Hillier

Analysts have Grand Theft Auto V pegged for a short by PR cycle, but a long string of numbers before the word “sales”.

“They want to steal everyone’s attention, and will do so with a launch in front of E3,” Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter told IndustryGamers.

“I would say they’re within six months of release. If they’re ready in June 2012, they’ll do it,” he reiterated to GameInformer.

Mike Hickey, of National Alliance Capital markets, agreed.

“We believe Rockstar Games is modeling a 4 to 6 month marketing window for their upcoming GTA V release, suggesting a Summer ’12 launch period,” he said.

“Specifically, we suspect GTA V will ship in May, 2012.”

Analysts seem to believe getting all eyes on itself before the summer release drought is an excellent strategy.

“If GTA V gets mid-90 reviews, it’ll likely do 20-25 million in the first year. You have an install base two times [what it was] when GTA IV came out, and GTA 4 did 12 million in the first six months,” Pachter said.

EEDAR’s Jesse Divnich went further, calling out the big guns.

“Grand Theft Auto V should sell well over 24 million units worldwide in its first year. Given the anticipation for the release, Grand Theft Auto V has the potential to shatter first day and first week sales records that are currently held by Call of Duty: Black Ops,” he predicted.

“I expect GTA V to at easily exceed GTA IV 22M units sales. Assuming Take-Two can ship sufficient quantities (and no reason to doubt they will) GTA V’s first day/first week revenue is likely to top GTA IV’s,” M2 Research’s Billy Pidgeon concurred.

Hickey was less confident.

“We expect GTA V from Rockstar Games will sell-in +16.25 million units, for an estimated $746 million in sales for the Company’s fiscal ’13 operating period,” he hazarded.

Rockstar delivered the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto V overnight, confirming a San Andreas setting.



  1. AHA-Lambda

    i predict august/september personally

    #1 3 years ago
  2. Erthazus

    Analysts can suck everyone’s cock because MAX PAYNE 3 is already before summer (in march or may)

    #2 3 years ago
  3. Se_7_eN

    This is WRONG, please stop posting “Analyst” stories.

    #3 3 years ago
  4. someguy2

    I doubt that they would release two games in two months, Max Payne 3 in March and this in May. Highly unlikely.

    #4 3 years ago
  5. IL DUCE

    Agree w/ 2, 3, & 4

    While it’s possible it is EXTREMELY unlikely…and since analysts are always wrong that makes it even more unlikely…

    I would say Holiday 2012, or more likely getting pushed back into March-May 2013…

    Max Payne 3 will be the early 2012 hit for TakeTwo from Rockstar and then you got BioShock Infinite coming from 2K at some point in 2012, I had initially heard February but who knows anymore, most likely fall 2012 now…and they wouldn’t want to cannibalize possible MP3 sales by releasing GTA V, the biggest game release in the past few years a mere two months after MP3…

    the only other thing Rockstar’s working on (that we know of) is Agent, and we dont even know if that’s still a PS3 exclusive and when we will get more info on it…let alone when it will even release, so I think it won’t come as quickly as everyone thinks…

    #5 3 years ago
  6. Razor

    “Rockstar delivered the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto V overnight

    You need to move to a better time zone, Brenna :)

    #6 3 years ago
  7. aseddon130

    It better not be September as i’m getting married and if this is the case the weddings getting postponed!!!

    The sooner the better, but not September … please!

    #7 3 years ago

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