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GTA 5 to move 18 million copies during first sixth months – analyst

Friday, 1st February 2013 20:23 GMT By Stephany Nunneley

Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia expects Grand Theft Auto 5 to outsell Call of Duty in 2013, and estimates Rockstar has spent around $137.5 million on development.

The massive figure was deduced by the analyst using a “hypothetical probability model” which figures around 250 staffers have been working on the game for five years.

Bhatia feels that if the game moves at least 15 million copies, and Take-Two go easy on marketing, the game could generate $193.6 million in sales; however, the analyst predicts the game will shift 18 million copies during its first first sixth months on the market.

Originally slated for a spring release, GTA 5 will now release in September in order to provide additional development time. Cowen & Company analyst Doug Creutz suspects the delay signals a possible release on next-gen consoles.

Thanks, GI International.

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9 Comments

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  1. Lounds

    TBH all you would need is a internet advert saying the date on facebook and boom everyone would pick it up on that date.

    #1 2 years ago
  2. Giskard

    @1 There are adverts on Facebook?

    #2 2 years ago
  3. mkotechno

    Yeah, great, except by the fact they don’t even know in which gen will be launched.

    #3 2 years ago
  4. Ireland Michael

    @3 Uuuh… The game is due out in September. It’s obviously going to be this gen.

    #4 2 years ago
  5. Moonwalker1982

    Getting really sick and tired of all this ‘Oh it’s going to next-gen now’ nonsense. As if Rockstar and Take Two want to alienate the huge Xbox 360 and PS3 fanbases, come on now. Lots of people with a 360/PS3 won’t be switching over right away, and Rockstar knows that as well. It will come out for the current consoles and perhaps a next-gen port later on, i can see that happening.

    People seem to be forgetting that they have worked 5+ years on this and for the current hardware, as if they are going to throw that down the drain…come on now.

    #5 2 years ago
  6. Triggerhappy

    @ 5: Exactly. Current gen = Bigger install base. It would be silly to make this exclusively next gen.

    #6 2 years ago
  7. monkeygourmet

    @5 & 6

    Yeah not exclusively but why not release on next gen aswell?

    Would coincide with the PC version maybe, all they would have to do is have better textures, resolution and FPS etc…

    In fact, this would be the perfect game to get people to purchase new consoles, you can get the slightly inferior last gen port or the bells and whistles next gen version.

    If MS secured exclusive content for the 720 version it would be a good start for them.

    Many games came out for Xbox 1 & launched on 360.

    I expect COD this year will do the same.

    Maybe even ‘Last of Us’ on PS4…

    #7 2 years ago
  8. Spidermonkey101

    @7

    Yeah, I disagree with that. The next gen consoles haven’t even been announced yet, so unless sony and microsoft have been working with Rockstar on this game (for the new features in the next-gen consoles) then i doubt they’ll be releasing the game on the next gen consoles right away. I agree with the other two because most Rockstar fans are playing on the current consoles AND probably won’t even buy the next-gen consoles right when it comes out. Rockstar wants to make money -> Fans are on the current consoles -> The fans = the money.

    #8 2 years ago
  9. monkeygourmet

    @8

    I get ya, only speculating.

    People could still get it on current gen consoles aswell. You can count on COD releasing multiplatform, why not GTA?

    After all, the new consoles basically sound like PC’s even more than the 360.

    And, Rockstar should have dev kits by now. Hopefully working on Red Dead 2 on the new consoles…

    #9 2 years ago