Thu, Dec 06, 2012 | 20:30 GMT

Pachter has harsh words for Wii U, thinks Activision should buy Take-Two

During a talk at the Game Monetization Summit analyst Michael Pachter said he doesn’t see Wii U being supported once next gen systems come out; plus, he thinks its possible Activision will buy a majority stake in Take-tow if not buy it outright,

Here’s a few select quotes from his talk, courtesy of GI International:

Wii U

“I think you’re going to see now with the Wii U, notwithstanding its early launch support, nobody’s going to support it. I don’t think we’re going to see every game on the Wii U next year. I think when next-gen consoles come out they’re going to be better than the Wii U. Call of Duty is amazing on the Wii U this year. The problem with playing Call of Duty online is it’s a community and if there’s only four people playing it on the Wii U it’s no fun. Nobody in their right mind would buy a Wii U and say ‘I’m going to play Call of Duty.’ That’s like saying ‘I gave up Facebook, and it’s Google+ now’.”

Next-gen

“Next-generation consoles are going to have big hard drives, they’re also going to have disc drives. I would guess that the PS4 and the Xbox 720 will have 2 TB hard drives. That pretty much means you can download anything you want and never get rid of anything. You’ll have room for a couple of hundred games, no problem.”

Activision, Bungie

“Vivendi’s going to screw up Activision for the next couple of years, because they’re going to cause them to borrow money and buy back stock. I think the first thing Activision buys is Take-Two, because that fits in very nicely. Activision should buy Zynga – I just don’t think Mark Pincus is a seller. I think Zynga has great assets, they have really good franchises, they have a ton of revenue, and I think run more efficiently they’d make a ton of money. THQ is not investable. Activision and EA make tons of money, so they are interesting investments. Take-Two doesn’t make very much money but they have really great assets, so I think they remain attractive.”

“Prediction: The next Bungie game will be single-player only; the multiplayer aspect of that game will be subscription only.Activision’s going to try it, because they’re greedy pigs, and they’re bold.”

Pachter also discussed digital distribution, and why Zynga is a “train wreck”. He also feels Call of Duty is a failure due to “Activision doing a bad thing with Call of Duty from a profit perspective,” he said. “This multiplayer thing being free was a mistake. I don’t think anybody ever envisioned it would be this big. It’s a mistake because it keeps those people from buying and playing other games.”

Hit the link why don’t you.

58 comments

#51

viralshag
07/12/12, 2:00 pm

How come Nintendo never get called out for all of their marketing power? I see more ads on TV for Nintendo products than I do anything else…

#52

monkeygourmet
07/12/12, 2:04 pm

@51

Der rule 10.1…. Don’t you know anything?!

***Rule 10.1 : ‘Excluding Nintendo’

:)

#53

G1GAHURTZ
07/12/12, 2:05 pm

@44:

Indeed, they are core gamers. Like them, loath them, consider them sheep, whatever, they are the core gamers who support the industry. They are most certainly not casuals.

@45:

It’s not the case that I think about the WiiU this way, because I simply “don’t like” Nintendo.

I’m just going by what Nintendo have shown us so far. You’re forgetting that they, themselves, have never tried to make an issue out of power/potential.

If Nintendo have chosen not to come out with a single game that shows off the potential of the WiiU, then that’s their fault.

I can only judge their console on how they present it to me, and so far, everything that I’ve seen from them looks like it could have been done on the Wii.

That’s why I said before, that until someone comes up with a game that clearly puts the WiiU into the 8th gen, then there’s absolutely zero reason for me to change my mind.

If I’m wrong, then that’s Nintendo’s fault for not marketing their product well.

I’m not prepared to spend my money on a company who hasn’t delivered on the potential of any of it’s home consoles since the N64.

So far, they have given me no reason to at all. All they seem to have is a current gen console that needs a huge day 1 patch, is all too easily bricked, freezes up constantly, eats DVDs, has a slow UI, has a weak online system (all from the words of WiiU owners) and is regularly slaughtered by the gaming and mainstream press alike.

If Nintendo do something about it, I may change my mind, but until then, it’s not a next gen console by any stretch of the imagination.

@46:

Most CoD players pick the game up and play for a couple of hours every other day

That still works out at 350+ hours of CoD gaming. It doesn’t fit the description at all.

Trying to imply that a “casual gamer” plays a game for 350+ hours before buying the next version, and the next version, is ridiculous.

That’s the equivalent of more than 35 10 hour SP campaign games.

Who plays 35 SP campaigns a year?

#54

monkeygourmet
07/12/12, 2:11 pm

@53

“Like them, loath them, consider them sheep, whatever, they are the core gamers who support the industry. They are most certainly not casuals.”

Not really though, how are they supporting the industry if they only buy COD and FIFA every year, there only really supporting EA and Activision really. Maybe MS if they buy Online obviously…?

In fact, a so called ‘casual gamer’, that buys Mario Kart, Mario, Angry Birds, Your Shape Fitness evolved, Dance Central, skylanders and Lego Lord of the Rings would have actually contributed more and had a more varied gaming experience overall.

#55

ManuOtaku
07/12/12, 2:16 pm

#53 GIGA “I’m just going by what Nintendo have shown us so far. You’re forgetting that they, themselves, have never tried to make an issue out of power/potential.
That’s why I said before, that until someone comes up with a game that clearly puts the WiiU into the 8th gen, then there’s absolutely zero reason for me to change my mind.

If I’m wrong, then that’s Nintendo’s fault for not marketing their product well”

GIGA i will believe that, if you feel the same way about the other consoles, all of them had bad ports, especially in the first year of its release, even the first party titles for both consoles perfect dark or resistance, werent indicative of all the power they did hold in future years, a power that were shown by future games, therefore i dont think is their fault for not marketing the product well, this happens to all consoles, and it is expected, or do you expect to see uncharted 2, gears of war 3 on the first year of the console lyfecycle?, i didnt hear you complaining about this for the other consoles, why with nintendo WiiU?, it is not a marketing fault, it is expected as the developers become more aware of the new architecture, the games get better with time on their lifecycle, WiiU is not different.

#56

G1GAHURTZ
07/12/12, 2:16 pm

As for gamer categories…

Of course there’s a difference.

Is a movie buff, who builds a home cinema and can tell you the difference between 24 and 25fps without even looking, like a person who only ever watches the latest Marvel comic release twice a year?

No.

One is casual, the other is hardcore.

Then you have the core, in the middle, who watch 8-10 movies at the cinema per year, and use NetFlix, etc on a weekly basis.

Three distinct categories. One supports the industry, one takes it to an extreme, the other dips his toe in the water every now and then.

It’s exactly the same with gamers. I don’t see what’s wrong with admitting that.

It doesn’t make one person better than another, it just makes it easier to define and discuss things.

#57

deathm00n
07/12/12, 2:21 pm

@54 And there’s the problem with the industry today, they are supporting EA, Activision and Ubisoft, while other companys are getting closed. See how they are really affectig the market? Or you think this is all just a coincidence? This week we saw the closure of what? 3 or 4 studios?

@56 Couldn’t explain it better, not that it’s bad to be one of them, you are one of them. But in the end it’s all gamers. Like we are all people, but who fit in different parts of the society. *whoa, there I’ve gone deep*

#58

G1GAHURTZ
07/12/12, 2:34 pm

@54:

They don’t have to buy other products directly to support the industry. The fact that CoD is so popular, makes EA release countless wannabes, for example, which also make money.

It’s a system like many other industries, where the top 2% indirectly generate business for the other struggling 98% of companies. It all filters down eventually. It’s not pretty, but it’s how things work.

Besides, not every CoD player is a one game person. Many also buy other games.

@55:

i didnt hear you complaining about this for the other consoles, why with nintendo WiiU?

Originally, I wanted a PS3. I drank the Sony Kool Aid. I was super hyped, and was ready for a day 1 purchase, no matter the price. I didn’t buy a 360, which looked like a poor console to me at the time, and waited for a PS3.

Then it came out, and it simply had nothing about it that made me think that it was worth the money over a 360. Sony even offered them to the company where I worked at the time for about £50 less than the high street price, but I wasn’t interested.

I went for a few good months with the PS3 and 360 both being out, but I bought none of them, just like I’m not buying a WiiU now.

So, I haven’t changed at all. I treat all hardware, not just gaming hardware, in the same way.

It was only after I bought a 360 as an impulse buy that I even discovered how much I liked XBL.

Manufacturers have to convince me to spend my money. I want to buy new stuff, so if I don’t spend my money on them, it’s their fault. It’s because they didn’t sell their product well enough.

This gen, I’ve bought a (number of) 360(s) a PS3, a Wii, a couple of DSs, and a laptop that I bought with playing SC2 in mind.

I have strong opinions about companies, but if I see a good product, I will try and buy it.

For example, I despise Apple as a company, but I have an iPad, because I think it’s a quality product.

I think I’m being impartial about this. I may be wrong, but I like to think that Nintendo could change my mind by doing a bit more.

So far, they are failing.

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