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A spring 2014 Xbox 720 launch “makes sense,” says Pachter

Wednesday, 20th June 2012 18:00 GMT By Stephany Nunneley

Industry analyst Michael Pachter has said it would make more sense for Microsoft to release the next iteration of Xbox during spring 2014.

Speaking with Xbox 360 Magazine, Pachter said if he were “a betting man,” a spring 2014 launch makes more sense from a retail standpoint, as there aren’t any holidays competing with gamers’ wallets.

“And it is likely that they won’t manufacture more than a few million units for launch,” he said.

Pachter also touched up on the SmartGlass application, stating it’s “pretty clear,” Microsoft intends to allow “the Xbox 720 to function as a cable TV box.”

“[This allows] cable television service providers to broadcast over the Internet through the box, with SmartGlass as the remote controller, and with the Xbox 720 using Windows 8 to split the TV signal into multiple feeds, allowing consumers to divert different channel feeds to different displays within the home,” he said.

“This will require some kind of wi-fi connection for each display, so while it clearly will work on smart glass, they also need to come up with some kind of wi-fi dongle to plug into other televisions in the household.

“I think this is the biggest part of the next launch, as it will allow Microsoft to participate in the cable TV monthly subscription. There are 85 million households in the US with either cable or satellite TV, and if Microsoft could sell half of them an Xbox 720 and collect a $5 monthly Xbox Live Gold fee from each of them, we’re talking huge profits.”

As far as the rumored documents regarding Microsoft’s plans for its next console which were released over the weekend, Pachter said he expects the firm to release a $99 version of the console, subsidized “if the customer commits to a cable TV subscription for two years.”

“That certainly wasn’t contemplated in 2010, so is not mentioned in the document, but I would bet that is what happens when the box launches,” he said.

Microsoft has been mum regarding its plans for the next Xbox, but its lawyers tossed a cease and desist order over the document leak.

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20 Comments

  1. Malmer

    I think he is wrong. Almost everything points to a holiday 2013 release, and it would give the console a great start to be a part of the holiday moneystream. The PS4, however, looks to be a spring 2014 release, now with sony launching new IP:s and thier comments about not getting out the door first.

    #1 2 years ago
  2. daytripper

    not one rumour has excited me about this new xbox, maybe the next playstation could spark interest.

    #2 2 years ago
  3. G1GAHURTZ

    If he was a betting man, he’d have bankrupted himself on such stupid predictions as the Wii HD being released in 2010.

    #3 2 years ago
  4. Erthazus

    “Almost everything points to a holiday 2013 release”

    Except for Gears Of War:Judgement that was announced for Xbox 360 even if it is developed by polish developer “People Can Fly”.

    But i hope so for 2013 release, but i’m not sure. Even Unreal Engine 4 first game will be PC exclusive and will be already next year. Microsoft is still probably developing kinect shit for the next Box.

    #4 2 years ago
  5. KodyxDestroyer

    @4 Correct me if I’m wrong, but Gears of War: Judgment wasn’t announced for any system at all, so it very well could be next gen.

    #5 2 years ago
  6. Erthazus

    @5, you are correct sir.

    but it is running on Unreal Engine 3 and http://www.mofobian.com/wp-content/gallery/gears-of-war-judgement/gears-of-war-judgement-1.jpg screenshots does not speak “Next Gen” language.

    #6 2 years ago
  7. Ekona

    Has Pachter ever got any of his “predictions£ correct? I read all the time about how this is due then, or so-and-so will break even on this, and yet I have no idea who the man is or whether he has ever got a single thing right ever.

    He may as well be Mr Random from off the street for all I care about what he has to say.

    #7 2 years ago
  8. Gheritt White

    Both Sony and Microsoft will aim for Xmas 2013. Whether or not they make it at this point is anyone’s guess.

    #8 2 years ago
  9. ManuOtaku

    I think he would be better as a wheaterman, his chances will increase exponentially higher.
    P.S pachter, needs a pacht that solves the AI issues he has, hope microsoft certifies this at a sooner pace compare with the normal pachts for XBLA

    #9 2 years ago
  10. Phoenixblight

    @4

    Epic has already said it will be a while before Unreal 4 will be released and they don’t have plans for this gen with the engine. They said they expect people to keep using Unreal 3 within the first few years of next gen. Your predictions are just as bad as Pachter.

    #10 2 years ago
  11. Malmer

    @4 But Gears: Judgement really does feel like a cash-in title for the audience that has a 360. The two consoles will co-exist for a number of years so it makes sense to have titles like that. Judgment is a cheap cash-in for the multiplayer crowd on 360. Beyond and The Last of Us are big new franchises. A world of difference.

    #11 2 years ago
  12. Erthazus

    @11, you are right. But entire 360 line-up was always a cash-in for multiplayer, so nothing new here.

    @10, first of all i didn’t predicted anything. “Maybe you need another screenshot?”

    #12 2 years ago
  13. Phoenixblight

    @12
    “Even Unreal Engine 4 first game will be PC exclusive and will be already next year.”

    Oh thats not a prediction? As I said EPic said they don’t have any plans with Unreal 4 and they expect people will be using Unreal 3 for the first few years of next gen just like the new Star Wars game that is next gen release.

    #13 2 years ago
  14. Erthazus

    Ahem, Epic Games said that one game will be next year in UE 4.0
    and Epic Games said that they are working on the PC exclusive.
    So it makes sense.

    #14 2 years ago
  15. Phoenixblight

    @14

    They have a PC exclusive game being made but no where is it said that it is using Unreal engine 4. EPic has said that the engine will be released at next gen and hopefully earlier. SO again you are predicting when even Epic themselves are saying the exact opposite. That is assuming that they plan on releasing that exclusive next year.

    #15 2 years ago
  16. Erthazus

    Making a game for a PC with the old engine makes no sense. The best way to introduce new engine is to make a game on it.

    and that’s what Epic Games always did with Unreal Tournament and it’s Unreal engine.

    #16 2 years ago
  17. Phoenixblight

    @16

    Again they have said that Unreal Engine 4 will be released with next Gen not a game but the actual engine. So if the exclusive game is to be released next year it will be another iteration of Unreal 3 which they have said they plan on updating even after the release of Unreal 4.

    #17 2 years ago
  18. Gigabomber

    Pachter is wrong all of the time. Stop posting what he says, please.

    #18 2 years ago
  19. drewbles82

    I think Autumn 2013, not many games announced. You can predict the usual new need for speed, call of duty, battlefield, assassins creed but most companies are prob working on next gen games for launch titles

    #19 2 years ago
  20. cw5th

    @ Unreal Engine 4:

    You guys don’t remember this anymore?

    http://www.vg247.com/2012/06/11/epic-boss-first-unreal-engine-4-game-to-ship-in-2013/

    “For sure something next year, I just don’t know exactly when,” he said. ”Until we’re really clear on when the game is going to be finished, when the partner wants to put in the sand and market it, we don’t really have those kind of dates.”

    Who would pay Epic to Make their ner Flagship Franchise for the PC?

    “It’s certainly important for us to have our flagship game. That’s the game for which we develop the engine. Gears of War was the game for which Unreal Engine 3 was developed, and so shipping that has a huge significance for licensees and for us. I think, for Unreal Engine 4, there’ll certainly be a couple of games.”

    SO that’s either Sony or Microsoft.

    IF MS launches 2013 than this will be a Launch Game for it an so there is no way that MS will LAunch in early 2014.

    #20 2 years ago

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