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Analysts predict PS3 pulling ahead in console war

Tuesday, 26th July 2011 03:18 GMT By Brenna Hillier

Analysts have credited Sony with at least a minor victory over Microsoft when this generation is done and dusted.

EEDAR’s Jesse Divnich told IndustryGamers that the PlayStation 3 has sold ten percent over the Xbox 360 in the first half of 2011, worldwide.

Moreover, he noted that while the 360 currently has a “minimal” lead on the PS3 of five percent, the Xbox 360 has a higher replacement rate, leaving the two rival consoles “neck and neck” for install base. David Cole of DFC Intelligence backed up this claim.

Billy Pidgeon of M2 Research said the PlayStation 3 is a “strong contender” for second place behind the Wii, this generations hands-down home console winner, and predicted a new Microsoft console could actually benefit Sony.

“Should Microsoft release a successor to Xbox 360 and shift the pipeline for hardcore games over to the new consoles, that would be a possible scenario by which PS3 could bypass Xbox 360′s active installed base,” he said.

“This scenario would give PS3 the opportunity to soak up the hardcore sector.”

As for second place, as far as the hardcore market is concerned, I’d say PS3 is a strong contender for that position.

All three analysts noted that the 360 continues to perform most strongly against the PS3 in the US in particular, and had beaten models and predictions, perhaps due to Kinect sales.

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7 Comments

  1. LOLshock94

    Billy Pidgeon that is an awesome name

    #1 3 years ago
  2. Gigabomber

    Unfortunate truth is that the 360 is still the winner even after the RROD fiasco. This gen has almost seemed like the systems were underdogs fighting against all odds, beating back the RROD and hackers left and right, except that they were designed, made, and marketed, by mega-corporations.

    #2 3 years ago
  3. stretch215

    Either way, competition is what drives innovation. It’s better when the race is close.

    #3 3 years ago
  4. Kuwabara

    He also forgot to mention the 1 year head start xbox 360 had, that alone puts the ps3 ahead by 1 or 2 million easily, and the much cheaper console price, and the stupid 4 gig xbox 360 console version which is what is giving xbox 360 more sales in the usa every week. Theres no way the next xbox will be getting a yr headstart, and the ps4′s price tag wll be along the same line as the xbox . ps4 will also be ahead next gen, its common fact, sony is more known and popular world wide, even in the usa.

    #4 3 years ago
  5. Blerk

    I’d be more surprised if the PS3 didn’t pull ahead than if it did, at this point.

    I somehow doubt it will be remembered “fondly” once this generation is over, though. There’ve been so many cock-ups and misfires I somehow doubt it will ever gain the reputation that the PS2 had, in a similar way to how Microsoft will never really shake the RROD shambles regardless of what they do later.

    Ultimately the PS3′s doomed to be labelled in the same way as the Gamecube and PSP were/are – a machine which actually did pretty well, but which everyone remembers as a failure.

    #5 3 years ago
  6. typeface

    @5 I fail to see how anyone would label the PS3 as a loser in the same vein as the Gamecube. The Gamecube did fail considerably because it only managed 20Million in sales. For a company with a rich history such as Nintendo yes that’s a failure. Maybe the 3DS could hit that (blame it on Nintendo and Retailers bad brand image perception for that one, that and the price and various other factors.)

    In a generation where the race for the second pretty much is around the 50M mark and the leader is hitting the ceiling at 80Mish we have no clear winner or loser. By the end of this gen it’s likely that the PS3 and 360 should hit between 65 and 75M and the Wii around 90M.

    The things that one should remember in this gen are
    1)The devices failed a lot and a lot of these purchases are rebuys. Far more for the 360 than the PS3.
    2)The PS3 never really had much of base range pricedrop for about 5 years now. I mean yeah sure from 599 to the 299 (in USD) exists but by this point the PS2 had dropped to 199 and consoles selling at 299 is technically still a premium price considering that all current devices are outdated hardware.
    3)There are no winners and as a result the consumer is winning, however the trolling and crap communities and constant bickering and whining in many communities has increased to bad levels.
    4)MP has become vital and now every game has MP and consoles need a robust online or it fails to hit with the older market.
    5)Focussing on new markets do not bring gamers because they’re always after the next interesting thing and are fickle and not many of them have actually switched to core gaming. Every company that tries this route must know that it’s a short term solution and only creates problems in the long run. By this statement what I’d clearly like to iterate is that a core gamer or rather a gaming enthusiast does ‘buy’ more games than a casual gamer who may buy under 10 games and then lets the system sit there. At the end of the day this matters a lot since software>hardware in terms of returns. Attachment rates are important.

    #6 3 years ago
  7. Gheritt White

    WAAAAAAAAAH! Cry moar, droids.

    #7 3 years ago

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