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PS4, Wii U, Xbox One combined unit sales to be 5% lower than current gen – research firm

Tuesday, 16 July 2013 19:35 GMT By Stephany Nunneley

Cloud-based streaming won’t be a selling point for next-gen consoles, according to a new report from ABI Research, which also doesn’t expect unit sales to reach those of current-gen systems within the first five years at market.

The research firm predicts the combined unit sales of PS4, Wii U and Xbox One to hit around the 133 million mark within the first five years of launch – a 5% decrease compared with current-gen unit sales of 140 million.

ABI Research feels the decline in unit sales will be due to the current availability of less expensive streaming devices such as “Roku, Netgear, WD, Apple and Seagate, among others,” along with Ouya and the 13-year lift on the console ban in China.

“Without solid titles and first-party franchises, platforms will have a difficult time finding traction,” noted the firm’s practice director Sam Rosen. “Streaming media is not enough when low-cost STBs are readily available.

“While we don’t anticipate a drop-off in game console households, barring significant changes to less developed console markets in Asia and Latin America there isn’t a great deal of growth opportunity beyond the current installed base.”

“With many of the casual gaming segment embracing mobile devices for gaming, without a shift in strategy and pricing the Wii U will likely fail to match the success of the Wii, which will impact future console shipments,” added senior analyst Michael Inouye.

Thanks, Game Politics.

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23 Comments

  1. Lengendaryboss

    Wii U is current gen?

    #1 2 years ago
  2. Stephany Nunneley

    @1 Well, technically yes – but not really I suppose they were just the first out of the gate. Like a quarter horse.

    #2 2 years ago
  3. actuallyisnotafox

    looking at the ps2, it was very basic, you could play games, dvds, and cd’s etc… then when ps3 came a long you had the xmb, you had much better graphics, you had a lot… looking at next gen, theres not that much to compel people, i mean it looks more a less the same as the ps3 except with better graphics and yes the cloud…

    #3 2 years ago
  4. Lengendaryboss

    @Steph
    Okay dokey.

    #4 2 years ago
  5. OlderGamer

    Kind of what I have been saying.

    #5 2 years ago
  6. machy

    i’d say that 5% is thx to the wiiU x1&ps4 will just do fine

    #6 2 years ago
  7. OlderGamer

    Maybe machy, but then again maybe would be WiiU buyers have just shifted over to PS4 or X1? I know a lot of people that where on the fence with WiiU, and decided to wait and spring for PS4 instead.

    Maybe consoles have reached their peak. When gaming went mainstream, TV watching fell off. Maybe social media/texting/internet/Netflix/hulu/mobile/pc/etc have been cutting into the growth of dedicated gaming consoles?

    #7 2 years ago
  8. Lengendaryboss

    @3
    Also Isn’t a pain in the backside to develop for, games should be equal, the PS4 should be faster and some other additions.

    Not a major leap so it seems but the developers and publishers seem happy for now.

    #8 2 years ago
  9. JewyMcJew

    I disagree. Pre-sales for both PS4 and XBONE are very strong, the inflation adjusted launch price is very low, and the launch line-up is already great thanks to the easy PC platform.

    Further down the road, porting PC games to the consoles now takes weeks rather than months or even years. The economics of AAA game making could vastly improve.

    Combined with an aggressive SoC strategy allowing for further price reductions, I wouldn’t be shocked to see a $199 price-point within 5 years.

    I think PS4 could break the 200 million mark and at worst, Kinect 2 will usher in a new age in robotics.

    #9 2 years ago
  10. MCTJim

    Not really a a huge loss imo, but, I dont see either of the consoles..the X1 or the PS4 lasting for 8 years like the 360 or PS3.

    #10 2 years ago
  11. ShakaCarnage

    I will confidently predict, right now (and you can hold me to this, Steph), that this story won’t turn out to be correct.

    I am 100% confident the market will be grown by set-top-box deals in the US and Europe.

    And I’m not even an analyst.

    #11 2 years ago
  12. RandomTiger

    So that would mean if the WiiU doesnt pick up on sales Sony and MS will increase their market share?

    #12 2 years ago
  13. ChunkyLover112

    I have a hard time believing this to be honest. With the pshit, it’s probably true because fewer and fewer want it in their living room. And you can’t blame them – I mean, who wants a black turd in their living room by their TV?

    But yeah, the game industry is still growing bigger in countries like India and China – especially now that they’re getting “legel.”

    And yes, the Wii U is next-gen. More “next-gen” than the ps4.

    #13 2 years ago
  14. Professor Zoom

    #13 Are you trolling? PS4 and X1 is nextgen. Wii and Wii u is last gen.

    #14 2 years ago
  15. Digital Bamboo

    Only 5%? I guess we’ll see about that.

    @14 He most likely is, yes. But, you are both wrong. Wii is last gen. Wii U is current gen. PS4 & X1 are next-gen.

    #15 2 years ago
  16. Ireland Michael

    @15 Wii U is next gen, whether you want it to be our not. It was the next interative hardware release by the company, which is all the term means. Consoles generations are defined by the time gap between new hardware releases, not by some arbitrary and bullshit willy waving specs comparisons.

    The 360 and PS3 are still “current gen” hardware as the new machines haven’t even come out yet.

    If you really want to argue hardware, *none* of the new stuff is particularly “next gen”. There’s nothing on any of these consoles that hasn’t possible on the PC for the past few years.

    #16 2 years ago
  17. Digital Bamboo

    @16 Doesn’t really bother me if people think of the Wii U as the last system of the current gen or the first system of the next-gen, I just get slightly annoyed when it’s lumped in with the Wii and called “last gen” which it most certainly is not.

    #17 2 years ago
  18. pandulce1

    #16 Ireland Michael
    “Consoles generations are defined by the time gap between new hardware releases, not by some arbitrary and bullshit willy waving specs comparisons.”

    Says who? You can measure them any way you want and so can anyone else. If the Wii U is “Next Gen” to you, good for you. To me it isn’t. It’s too close to seven year old consoles for my liking. I am freely entitled to think any way I please. And last time I checked, a PC was not a console.

    There is no place for Ferrari in a Mustang vs Camaro conversation.

    The tone of your answer really annoyed me. I would have expected a little more professionalism.

    #18 2 years ago
  19. Drewidian

    If MS does what I think they might do given their relationships with the cable and satellite companies and partners with them to sell the XBox One for a subsidized price of $99 – $199 with a 2 year contract, the XBox One’s sales may be equal to all of the generation 7′s game consoles. This generation there may have been 350 – 400 Million consoles sold between the Wii, XBox 360, and PS3, but there are over 1.5 Billion cable and satellite subscribers world wide, and many of them might welcome a unified device especially if it ends up costing as little as $99 on a contract. I could elaborate, but I’ll leave it there as food for thought.

    #19 2 years ago
  20. The_Red

    This is actually great news for PS4 and X1. Current gen systems reached the insane combined number because of Wii’s near 100 million sales. Wii U could do 30 to 40 million max, which if combined with this numbers means that PS4 / X1 can sell better than PS3 / 360 while the 5 percent drop is attributed to Wii U’s lower numbers compared to Wii.

    #20 2 years ago
  21. Drewidian

    #20 @The_Red I hear you but you have to remember what the typical gamer for the Wii was. They were casual gamers; not the more serious gamers that would choose the PS4 or XBox One. More than likely, those users will move to mobile devices since there is no shortage of casual games there. Will the PS4 and XBox One likely pick up some of those users, yes, but more than likely they will go mobile.

    #21 2 years ago
  22. The_Red

    @21
    There’s no denying what you said. Most of the people that went for Wii won’t be coming back for either one of next-gen consoles (PS4, X1 or Wii U). My point was about using the Wii U / Wii difference in context of “5%” less comparison that this firm is talking about.

    #22 2 years ago
  23. elem187

    I don’t see how the xBone will even come close to the 360 numbers. The bad PR doesn’t just go away because you sack Mattrick and apologize… Microsoft lost the trust of gamers, who is to say they wont double back again half way through the generation and attempt to bring DRM back.. I mean its a hardware disc tagging that will be apart of the system whether its laying dormant because of a software update until Microsoft feels they have enough users to flip back and gouge them..

    Also are gamers really comfortable with Microsoft’s always on camera and microphone after Microsoft was the top company named by the NSA’s PRISM program…. I can’t trust Microsoft, and I don’t know anyone who does. This console is going to be a flop for Microsoft. They will come in a distant 4th behind Ouya.

    #23 2 years ago

Comments are now closed on this article.

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    As much as Matt Martin loves GTA 5, he can’t recommend upgrading from console to PC just for a slick editing suite and even prettier graphics. “This is the third time in as many years that I’ve bought GTA 5.” I have a Grand Theft Auto 5 obsession, as I’m sure you know if you’ve […]

  • The Forest engine updated to Unity 5, major graphical and gameplay improvements made

    The Forest’s latest patch added substantial improvements to the game. The Forest version 0.16 is now live on Steam with plenty of new additions. The game has been ported over to Unity engine version 5. The plant and skin shaders have been replaced or rewritten. Many other visual tweaks have been made, such as model […]

  • Star Wars: Battlefront banner leaks from Star Wars Convention

    EA has been setting up the Battlefront booth at Star Wars Celebration, and one leaked picture shows what could be the game’s main art. Someone on Reddit posted a picture of the game banner at EA’s booth. Here it is: Lots of things happening here. There’s a Star Destroyer in the distance, TIE Fighters and […]

  • Get GTA 5 working with Oculus Rift using this tool

    There’s a way you can play GTA 5 in VR if you own an Oculus Rift Dev Kit and have a bit of cash to spare. VorpX, the go-to program for adding VR support to games has received an update recently to support GTA 5. This is far from perfect, as it only translates the […]

  • FIFA Ultimate Team: week of April 15 team revealed

    This week’s Team of the Week is now available for anyone to challenge in FIFA Ultimate Team. The team members get selected each week based on their performance during the weekend matches. You can fire up FIFA Ultimate Team on any platform and challenge this squad. You’ll also find some Team of the Week items […]

  • Deus Ex: Mankind Divided will let you stealth all encounters, including bosses

    Deus Ex: Mankind Divided will bring back one of the original game’s major features. Deus Ex: Human Revolution is considered by many to be a great game and worthy of bearing the franchise name. One of its grating issues though was its boss fights. You only had one way to fight them: be confrontational. The […]

  • Project Cars PC specs and supported wheels announced

    The release date of Project Cars is inching ever closer and more details have been revealed to answer all your burning questions. Project Cars developer Slightly Mad Studios has revealed the full list of supported steering wheels on all platforms, as well as the minimum and recommended PC specs. Minimum specs CPU – 2.66 GHz […]

  • GTA 5 gets custom FOV mod on PC

    Those not satisfied with GTA 5′s built-in field of view slider can use a new mod to push the number even further. The PC versions of GTA 5 – just like its PS4 and Xbox One counterparts – lets you switch between third and first-person view in shooting and driving. The game has an FOV […]

  • Win! GTA 5 on PC!

    Want to win a Steam key for Grand Theft Auto 5 on PC? Just enter here. GTA 5 released on PC this week and is going down a storm. We like it a lot, which is why we’re giving away a Steam code for Rockstar’s latest. All you need to do is enter your email […]

  • GTA 5 topples Skyrim’s record for highest concurrent players on Steam

    Not factoring in Valve games, GTA 5 is the new king of concurrent player numbers on Steam. GTA 5 is very popular on PC, even more popular than games like Skyrim in its heyday. The number of concurrent players for GTA 5 has peaked today at 301,246. This makes it the only non-Valve game to […]

  • Mortal Kombat X: what does a modern fighting game look like?

    Mortal Kombat continues to evolve as NetherRealm adds RPG systems and daily challenges to a solid fighting game, says Sherif Saed. “Mortal Kombat X takes many cues from games like Destiny, Call of Duty, and GTA Online with hourly, daily and weekly events.” For as many of its familiar facets, Mortal Kombat X has enough […]

  • J-Stars Victory VS+ coming west in June – new trailer

    J-Stars Victory VS+ will make the jump (see what I did there) to the west after all. J-Stars Victory VS+ is the western title for the fighting game which stars characters from a variety of Shonen Jump-published manga. Bandai Namco has announced the fighter will release in Europe on June 26 and in the Americas […]

  • Codemasters F1 license good through 2016

    Codemasters has at least one more F1 game in it. F1 2015 isn’t out yet, so Codemasters is naturally not talking about what it might get up to in the future. We do know what it can get up to, though; Codemasters’ Steven Embling told Videogamer has the option to continue the series. “We have […]

  • Project Cars has pretty deep graphics options on consoles

    Project Cars offers players a wide variety of ways to customise their graphic settings on PS4 and Xbox One. Project Cars is a graphics showcase and all early indications suggest it’s going to be one of the best-looking games out there. Slightly Mad’s commitment to graphics seems to go deeper than making things pretty, though: […]

  • Super Smash Bros. patch nerfs Diddy Kong – report

    Super Smash Bros. 3DS and Wii U is great but Diddy Kong is a beast and must be stopped. The latest Super Smash Bros. 3Ds and Wii U patch seems to have nerfed Diddy Kong, a character so over-powered that serious tournament players generate controversy by choosing to use him. Nintendo doesn’t publish patch notes, […]

  • Borderlands: The Pre-Sequel developer shuttered

    Borderlands: The Pre-Sequel developer 2K Australia has been closed down. Kotaku broke the news, and also had word from an anonymous source, who said that all staff have been let go. 2K responded to our request for comment with the following statement: We can confirm we have taken steps to begin the studio closure process […]

  • Samorost 3 trailer shows Amanita still in fine form

    Samorost 3 looks as delicately beautiful as its siblings. Samarost 3 developer Amanita Design has a reputation for gorgeous, slightly surreal world building. This new trailer for its latest adventure looks just as if not more lovely than the previous Samarost games and Botanicula. Samarost 3 is coming to Mac and PC later this year, […]

  • Amnesia dev’s new project SOMA now in beta

    SOMA is nearly here and I am torn between excitement and horrified dread. SOMA is the latest horror project from Frictional, the team behind Amnesia: The Dark Descent. We’re pretty excited to see what Frictional comes up with next, and we won’t have too long to wait, apparently; the developer has announced that SOMA is […]

  • Steam Guard mobile authenticator now in beta testing

    Steam is now testing its latest security measure. Steam helps you protect your account by offering two-factor authentication, a solution so beautifully elegant and effective that it’s astounding every gaming network doesn’t do the same (looking at you, Sony). Valve’s version is called Steam Guard, and it works via email. This isn’t always super convenient, […]

  • Godzilla battles Mothra in new trailer

    Godzilla lets you stomp around cities and battle classic kaiju. I’m in. Godzilla is coming to PlayStation 3 and PS4 in early July, but we haven’t seen a great deal of it since its December reveal. The new trailer below gives you an idea of just what Natsume has done with one of the biggest […]

  • Tales of Zestiria to launch this year – new trailer

    Tales of Zestiria continues Bandai Namco’s delightful new habit of bringing the popular JRPG series to the west before the shine wears off. Tales of Zestiria is coming west in northern autumn, the publisher has announced. That’s not a bad turnaround, given it first hit Japan in January, and localisation of text-heavy titles is expensive […]

  • Project Cars release date locked down, new trailer released

    Project Cars finally has a release date. Project Cars will release on May 8, Bandai Namco UK has announced. We haven’t yet had an update from Namco Bandai’s other regional offices, but its probably safe to bet the racer will release around the same time in the Americas, Europe and ANZ region. We can now […]

  • Attack on Titan: Humanity in Chains trailer shows combat, online multiplayer

    Attack on Titan: Humanity in Chains has plenty to offer fans of the anime. Previously known as Attack on Titan: The Last Wings of Mankind, the Spike Chunsoft action game is coming west thanks to Atlus. Gematsu reports it’s due in both Europe and North America in May, via the 3DS eShop. The trailer below […]

  • Bloodborne stamina recovery rate affected by equip weight

    Bloodborne players have unearthed an important gameplay detail not mentioned in the game’s menus or manual. In Bloodborne, players need to manage their stamina carefully for best results. A far more aggressively-tuned affair than past Souls games, Bloodborne does away with equip weight limits, and items have no listed weight details. As far as players […]

  • Street Fighter’s Ryu, Fire Emblem’s Roy spotted in Super Smash Bros. patch – rumour

    Street Fighter’s Ryu is rumoured for future Super Smash bros DLC following datamining of the latest patch. Super Smash Bros. 3DS and Wii U were updated recently, and hacker shinyquagsire23 claims to have found some interesting files while poking around in the 3DS patch data. As detailed on Reddit, the audio files included a new […]

  • Suikoden 3 PEGI rating suggests PS2 Classic re-release

    Suikoden. Suikoden 2. And now: Suikoden 3. Suikoden 3 has been rated by PEGI for PlayStation 3, presumably ahead of an upcoming re-release. Gematsu turned up the rating, and although we have no further information at this time, it’s not much a leap to assume the RPG will turn up as a PS2 Classic on […]

  • Star Wars Battlefront gameplay reveal to be streamed live, new Instagram tease

    The Star Wars Battlefront gameplay reveal will be live-streamed during a panel hosted by EA as part of the Star Wars Celebration festivities this Friday. This is according to an announcement from Verizon and Disney courtesy of MP1ST. The main stream for the event kicks off at 10am PDT/1pm EDT on Thursday, April 16. It […]

  • GameStop to launch retro game and console trade-in experiment

    GameStop wants to get into the retro game and console business, providing it’s a worthwhile endeavor. To test the possibility, it will soon allow customers in Birmingham, Alabama and New York City to trade-in classic consoles and games in-store. Speaking with IGN, a spokesperson for the company said the initiative will kick off on April […]

  • Battlefield Hardline’s first patch addresses five priority issues requested by the community

    Battlefield Hardline’s first patch is in the works, and today, Visceral Games has added Punkbuster and Nvidia DirectX driver fixes to the list of issues to be addressed. Miscellaneous fixes for “the most frequent crashes” will be included in the patch, as well as the following “top five priority” issues voiced by the community. Punkbuster […]

  • GTA 5 user videos: Franklin’s exploits, a traffic jam tickle our funny bone

    Since GTA 5 was released on PC this week, the amount of videos being created with the new editing tools are releasing at a quick rate. Below, are three in particular I found amusing. The first one is from James McVinnie, originally posted on Reddit, showing what occurs after he happens upon vehicles in a […]

  • Invisible Inc. is coming to PS4 and has left Steam Early Access

    Invisible Inc., from Don’t Starve developers Klei Entertainment, has been announced for PlayStation 4 and the game has also a release date on PC. The game has now left Steam Early Access and will arrive on PC May 12. Per a post from studio founder Jamie Cheng on the PS Blog, the game will contain […]

  • Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare Ascendance DLC dated for PC and PlayStation

    The Ascendance DLC pack for Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare now has a release date for PC, PlayStation 3 and PS4. It contains four new maps, the OHM 2-in-1 directed energy light machine gun, the OHM Werewolf custom variant, and the new Exo Grapple ability and playlist. The Infection episode of the exo Zombies saga […]