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Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter has just told videogaming247 that he expects Xbox 360 to have outsold PS3 in America last month, ahead of NPD data to be released this week.
The analyst said that his research note on the figures is to be released in approximately 45 minutes. Stay tuned, stat fans.
Viewing 31 responses
Blerk said:
He’s obviously still smarting from his ‘PS3 wins again!’ guesstimate last month.
pjmaybe said:
Wish I could get paid as much as he does for talking utter cock month in, month out.
Psychotext said:
Flipflop. He said in his last prediction that the PS3 was going to sell 500k in GTA month and the 360 would do 350k.
Stick to the part of your job you’re good at Pachter.
Psychotext said:
His original April prediction is a couple of mins into this vid:
http://www.gametrailers.com/bonusround.php?ep=20&pt=2
Blerk said:
So where is it, then?
/taps watch
patlike said:
*stares at inbox*
Blerk said:
And why aren’t you covering the Sega/Platinum Games thing?
patlike said:
I skipped it. There was nothing new on it. Does it mention Platinum stuff? Link?
Blerk said:
They’ve announced two new games are are about to announce a third. This little-know web site doesn’t have anything at all about it no siree not a thing.
patlike said:
Ah, yes. Tom just dropped me a link. Ta.
patlike said:
Done.
Psychotext said:
No update?
patlike said:
Still nothing, no.
Psychotext said:
It would appear his timekeeping is as reliable as his predictions are.
* zing *
Blerk said:
Has he changed his mind again?
http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10426&Itemid=2
patlike said:
*speechless*
Psychotext said:
So much for the 350k 360s and 500k PS3s. Putting my money where my mouth is, these were my predictions for the month:
[WII] 604k
[NDS] 540k
[PS3] 344k
[360] 324k
[PSP] 232k
[PS2] 196k
patlike said:
Just done another story. No idea what happened there.
Tiger Walts said:
Nice disclaimer.
Pachter noted that Wedbush Morgan’s forecasts are based upon “a combination of channel checks, company press releases and intuition, with the greatest dependence upon intuition.”
patlike said:
That comes at the bottom of all the analyst notes, pretty much.
Tiger Walts said:
It does kind of say… “You’ve just wasted 5 minutes reading and contemplating all of the above because I’m just guessing. People tend to believe you more if you throw numbers at them.”
Blerk said:
I’ll be very much surprised if the PS3 outdid the 360 in April. Or May.
G1GAHURTZ said:
Yeah, me too.
Psychotext said:
I think it did… but I don’t think there’s a lot in it. Time will tell how much the £25 difference between a 360 and PS3 makes in the US when dealing with GTA IV.
Blerk said:
Are the GTA stats actually included in April’s data, or did it come out after the cut-off date?
Psychotext said:
There’s about a week of GTA to be included.
Blerk said:
Is the difference between a PS3 and a 360 in the US really only £25?
/shakes head
Psychotext said:
Yeah, that’s the 40gb PS3 vs the 20gb 360. $399 vs $349.
Blerk said:
Europe am cry.
Sanderson1 said:
Hmm, looks like he pulled a flip flop again. Whoa, what happened to his 500k PS3 prediction early on? The margin is much closer as well. Anyhow this seems eerily similar to last month. Where he called it for the PS3 which turned out to be the incorrect, but decided he wanted to change his prediction mid-week hehe. I’m not sure what is going on with his predictions lately because they really are all over the place. CYA maybe the game of the day especially with his PS3 predictions since launch. I think even he is started to doubt it as well, which is saying a lot.
Killerbee said:
“Europe am cry”
Indeed. Sadly the probable truth is that Sony would be treating us much, much more kindly if we (Europe as a whole, that is) were all buying Xbox 360s instead of PS3s.
Re-reading this article – http://www.videogaming247.com/2008/04/14/that-was-the-news-%e2%80%93-week-15-2008-announce-the-80gb-ps3-sku-and-dualshock-3-for-europe-scee-or-risk-damage-later-this-year/ – barely a month after it was written has me once again nodding in agreement, but this time knowing that the worst fears and predicitons of a shafting on the MGS4 bundle all came true.