Tue, May 13, 2008 | 07:33 BST

Pachter: 360 outsold PS3 in the US last month

Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter has just told videogaming247 that he expects Xbox 360 to have outsold PS3 in America last month, ahead of NPD data to be released this week.

The analyst said that his research note on the figures is to be released in approximately 45 minutes. Stay tuned, stat fans.

31 comments

#1

Blerk
12/05/08, 12:10 pm

He’s obviously still smarting from his ‘PS3 wins again!’ guesstimate last month. :-D

#2

pjmaybe
12/05/08, 12:18 pm

Wish I could get paid as much as he does for talking utter cock month in, month out.

#3

Psychotext
12/05/08, 12:19 pm

Flipflop. He said in his last prediction that the PS3 was going to sell 500k in GTA month and the 360 would do 350k.

Stick to the part of your job you’re good at Pachter.

#4

Psychotext
12/05/08, 12:41 pm

His original April prediction is a couple of mins into this vid:
http://www.gametrailers.com/bonusround.php?ep=20&pt=2

#5

Blerk
12/05/08, 1:05 pm

So where is it, then?

/taps watch

#6

patlike
12/05/08, 1:07 pm

*stares at inbox*

#7

Blerk
12/05/08, 1:08 pm

And why aren’t you covering the Sega/Platinum Games thing? :-D

#8

patlike
12/05/08, 1:10 pm

I skipped it. There was nothing new on it. Does it mention Platinum stuff? Link?

#9

Blerk
12/05/08, 1:13 pm

They’ve announced two new games are are about to announce a third. This little-know web site doesn’t have anything at all about it no siree not a thing.

#10

patlike
12/05/08, 1:14 pm

Ah, yes. Tom just dropped me a link. Ta.

#11

patlike
12/05/08, 1:20 pm

Done.

#12

Psychotext
12/05/08, 2:11 pm

No update?

#13

patlike
12/05/08, 2:12 pm

Still nothing, no.

#14

Psychotext
12/05/08, 2:13 pm

It would appear his timekeeping is as reliable as his predictions are.

* zing *

#15

Blerk
12/05/08, 2:28 pm

#16

patlike
12/05/08, 2:41 pm

*speechless*

#17

Psychotext
12/05/08, 2:49 pm

So much for the 350k 360s and 500k PS3s. Putting my money where my mouth is, these were my predictions for the month:

[WII] 604k
[NDS] 540k
[PS3] 344k
[360] 324k
[PSP] 232k
[PS2] 196k

#18

patlike
12/05/08, 2:50 pm

Just done another story. No idea what happened there.

#19

Tiger Walts
12/05/08, 2:50 pm

Nice disclaimer.

Pachter noted that Wedbush Morgan’s forecasts are based upon “a combination of channel checks, company press releases and intuition, with the greatest dependence upon intuition.”

#20

patlike
12/05/08, 2:58 pm

That comes at the bottom of all the analyst notes, pretty much.

#21

Tiger Walts
12/05/08, 3:02 pm

It does kind of say… “You’ve just wasted 5 minutes reading and contemplating all of the above because I’m just guessing. People tend to believe you more if you throw numbers at them.”

#22

Blerk
12/05/08, 3:03 pm

I’ll be very much surprised if the PS3 outdid the 360 in April. Or May.

#23

G1GAHURTZ
12/05/08, 3:06 pm

Yeah, me too.

#24

Psychotext
12/05/08, 3:12 pm

I think it did… but I don’t think there’s a lot in it. Time will tell how much the £25 difference between a 360 and PS3 makes in the US when dealing with GTA IV.

#25

Blerk
12/05/08, 3:28 pm

Are the GTA stats actually included in April’s data, or did it come out after the cut-off date?

#26

Psychotext
12/05/08, 3:30 pm

There’s about a week of GTA to be included.

#27

Blerk
12/05/08, 3:33 pm

Is the difference between a PS3 and a 360 in the US really only £25?

/shakes head

#28

Psychotext
12/05/08, 3:39 pm

Yeah, that’s the 40gb PS3 vs the 20gb 360. $399 vs $349.

#29

Blerk
12/05/08, 3:40 pm

Europe am cry.

#30

Sanderson1
12/05/08, 3:41 pm

Hmm, looks like he pulled a flip flop again. Whoa, what happened to his 500k PS3 prediction early on? The margin is much closer as well. Anyhow this seems eerily similar to last month. Where he called it for the PS3 which turned out to be the incorrect, but decided he wanted to change his prediction mid-week hehe. I’m not sure what is going on with his predictions lately because they really are all over the place. CYA maybe the game of the day especially with his PS3 predictions since launch. I think even he is started to doubt it as well, which is saying a lot.

#31

Killerbee
12/05/08, 4:33 pm

“Europe am cry”

Indeed. Sadly the probable truth is that Sony would be treating us much, much more kindly if we (Europe as a whole, that is) were all buying Xbox 360s instead of PS3s.

Re-reading this article – http://www.videogaming247.com/2008/04/14/that-was-the-news-%e2%80%93-week-15-2008-announce-the-80gb-ps3-sku-and-dualshock-3-for-europe-scee-or-risk-damage-later-this-year/ – barely a month after it was written has me once again nodding in agreement, but this time knowing that the worst fears and predicitons of a shafting on the MGS4 bundle all came true. :(

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