Tag Archives: Evan Wilson

Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson has said Treyarch’s Call of Duty: Black Ops is accumulating pre-orders faster than Modern Warfare 2.

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Michael Pachter and Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson both offered their predictive take on tomorrow’s NPD numbers, by citing how much of a percentage Modern Warfare 2 contributed to November’s total game sales.

Pachter said that the title made up 23 percent of total game sales, but Wilson said that it contributed 25 percent.

“Modern Warfare comprises an estimated 25 percent of this month’s industry sales,” said Wilson. “While this is not out of the ordinary for a tent-pole title in a non-holiday month, it is impressive given our forecast that this November’s sales will match the month’s highest historical total on record.

“For comparison, Halo 2 reached 20 percent of industry sales in November 2004. The next highest share taker was Guitar Hero III at 12 percent in November 2007.”

Wilson predicted that November software sales will come in at around $1.45 billion year-over-year, and Pachter predicted a 7 percent jump over November 2008′s $1.55 billion.

Guess we’ll see tomorrow who was closest.

Via Gamespot.

Pacific Crest Securities analyst Evan Wilson has estimated that DJ Hero moved around 175,000 units in the US last month.

The title released with just five days to run in the latest NPD period, which counts from October 4 to October 31.

Wilson estimated overall sales would be down 20 percent compared to last year’s October.

The NPD releases tonight. Thanks, Gamespot.

Pacific Crest Securities analyst Evan Wilson expects says that he recession may be hitting games harder than financial gurus and chart trackers previously thought.

In his NPD preview note to investors, Wilson estimates software sales for June have dropped 20 percent year-over-year to $700 million.

“Our most recent checks have indicated that the relative health that we have seen may not have continued into June,” he wrote. “Our contacts indicate that sales in the important ‘school’s out’ period, especially in the last two weeks of June, were disappointing and represented a deviation in the early-year trend.

“While it is too early to call a long-term trend, we have taken a more conservative view of new and catalog products in our June NPD forecast. If the data back up our checks, it may be time to reassess the degree to which videogames really are ‘recession proof.’”

Wilson said that the expected slide can be attributed to the less-than-warm reception of big releases and “slipping consumer confidence”.

More through Gamespot.

Pacific Crest Securities analyst Evan Wilson has pointed to 2010 being a major year in the games trade’s cycle, with his company expecting a new console from Microsoft and the end of PSP and DS.

“We believe that peak industry sales will occur in 2010, given that Microsoft will likely introduce its next console that year and Nintendo will likely launch before then,” he said. “Further, 2010 is also likely to coincide with the end of the Nintendo DS and Sony PSP cycles.”

Wilson’s comments came in a week where EA looked as far ahead as 2011 for a revenue target. He made no mention of a PlayStation 3 cycle, which is reasonably assumed to be further reaching than Xbox 360′s and far distant to Wii’s.