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PS4 to hit 36 million sales, Xbox One to hit 30 million sales by 2018, say analysts

Friday, 13th September 2013 11:14 GMT By Dave Cook

PlayStation 4 sales will surpass Xbox One by 2018, according to analysts Futuresource Consulting.

The firm expects both consoles to sell less than PS3 and Xbox 360 respectively, and predicts that PS4 sales will top 36 million unites worldwide by 2018, while Xbox One’s is expected to shift 30 million units by then.

In a report, the company explains, “We expect the Xbox One to sell well in the USA due to existing customer loyalty, repositioning as an integrated multimedia home hub will open up further market opportunities, though it is launching into a crowded marketplace, so gaining a strong foothold in this category will be challenging.

“The PS4 is likely to maintain its strong lead in its core territories of Japan and continental Europe. Due to its lower price point and positive PR within the gaming community, the PS4 will also reduce Xbox’s lead in the key Microsoft territories of the USA and UK when compared with previous generations.

“Due to the increased availability of high-quality alternative gaming platforms such as mobile devices, as well as expected propositions from tech powerhouses Apple and Google, we expect the installed bases of the Xbox One and PS4 to be 20 per cent lower than those of the previous generation after five years on the market.

“With increased market convergence and non-traditional competition, we could be looking at the last generation of gaming consoles as we know it.”

The report also predicts that despite a growing interest in digital sales, the physical retail market will jump $430 million in 2014, bringing the boxed market’s worth to £18.7 billion.

What do you make of the numbers above? Let us know below.

Via MCV.

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24 Comments

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  1. Xbone

    Where can I apply for a job to be an analyst? Im good at pulling out numbers from my ass too.

    #1 10 months ago
  2. viralshag

    Sounds about right to me. I think anyone with half a brain and access to any games site could come to a similar conclusion.

    #2 10 months ago
  3. II-WAR-STEINER-II

    Uhm does anybody know Michael Pachter the godfather of craptolyst i mean analyst…

    #5 don’t be extra stupid look at preorders 4:1 to PS4

    #3 10 months ago
  4. Francis O

    I can do this too:

    The PS4 will hit 37 million in 2018

    The Xbox One will hits 34 million in 2018

    All right, I’m ready to be a professional analyst.

    #4 10 months ago
  5. TrickyAudio

    Its going to be well tight.

    Xbox 360 had what, a years lead on PS3? This time its neck and neck. Can see PS4 doing slightly better I reckon, but there won’t be much in it.

    #5 10 months ago
  6. Tech-N9ne

    @3 4:1 hehehe. Pulling number out your ass.

    #6 10 months ago
  7. loci

    Bad news for Microsoft. Xbox division will be closed due to investor pressure.

    #7 10 months ago
  8. Tech-N9ne

    @7

    Reminds me of this last gen sales projection;

    http://images3.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20080521193631/vgsales/images/9/93/ProjectedConsoleChart_v1_460x323.gif

    #8 10 months ago
  9. JewyMcJew

    I expect the opposite. I think the PS4 can hit 200 million. Here is why:

    1. China ended import bans. 100 million new potential middle-class customers.

    2. Low entry price and common PC components ensure quick cost reduction to magical $199 price point within 4 years.

    3. Energy efficient platform will allow for portable PS4 within 5 years extending the platform for years to come.

    4. Convenience and reduced day-one price via digital distribution

    #9 10 months ago
  10. Belmont

    Ah yes. I wonder what price tag apple’s proposition will carry. 600?

    To be a successful game platform you need content, not aluminium with chamfered edges and meticulously engineered buttons and Apple is not a company that wants to produce content. Apple is about making money from over priced hardware.

    “high-quality alternative gaming platforms such as mobile devices”

    Angry Birds Vs Halo
    2K Drive Vs GT

    Hard to guess which one wins…

    #10 10 months ago
  11. bennyx

    This from the same guys who said the Wii had no chance in hell of selling!!!
    They are all full of shit and have no clue.

    #11 10 months ago
  12. nitrofeen

    20% lower? Cmon do u really think anybody who is a console gamer is going to pick a Apple tv instead of a ps4 or Xbox one.

    #12 10 months ago
  13. Rikki

    2018! WHO CARES WE WILL ALL BE DEAD BY THEN! THAT’S LIKE THE FUTURE MAN!

    #13 10 months ago
  14. Khan979

    This guy lost any respect for his opinion that I might have had when he said “Due to the increased availability of high-quality alternative gaming platforms such as mobile devices”…

    #14 10 months ago
  15. AngryConsumer

    i think the ps4 will hit more like 45 million and the xbone like 25 millions. because the ps4 run circles around the xbone when it comes to faster hardware. the games will also be better on the ps4 than the xbone, and the cloud will definitive not help.

    #15 10 months ago
  16. Drewidian

    If MS does partner with the cable and satellite companies to sell the XBox One as a means for stemming the tide of cord cutters and subsidizes the XBox One for say $99-$199 on a 2 year contract, then the XBox one will sell significantly more units than the PS4 since at most there are maybe 250-300M gamers who purchased the gen 7 devices and there are over 800M cable and satellite subscribers.

    #16 10 months ago
  17. Silent Killer01

    OMG I hate anything posted about analyst.

    #17 10 months ago
  18. Doppleganger

    @16 I like Turtles

    #18 10 months ago
  19. Legion

    “With increased market convergence and non-traditional competition, we could be looking at the last generation of gaming consoles as we know it.” this alone marks the story as a fail. Analysis spout this on every new generation.

    And to even propose a factual Analysis of next generation prior to release is basically crystal ball Analytics.

    #19 10 months ago
  20. Professor Zoom

    I wanna be an analyst too:

    2018:

    XB1: 40 million consoles
    PS4: 29 million consoles
    Wii U: 17 million consoles

    #20 10 months ago
  21. yeoung

    Last console generation? There are several developers diving into various aspects of VR at this very moment. Lots of complementary hardware. I’m cautiously optimistic of a future console that will integrate all these different elements. TIVR.

    #21 10 months ago
  22. loudroom

    Remember when the new gen was announced a few months ago. we had a few analysts saying the the next gen would be the last gen for consoles, gamers are moving to a more casual gaming experience(mobile crap).
    They also said the next gen would have lower sales then the current gen.

    Now Sony and microsoft are saying they have greater demand for the the next gen then they did with the current gen at launch,

    Do these analysts really get paid for this, Is there really someone paying them real money or are they just turds on rock.

    I predict Microsoft are going to put to much energy into capturing the TV market,this is why they will fail and the Xbone will have much lower sales then the PS4, at least half as much. Microsoft are crazy for taking the experience of gaming success of the 360 then trying creating something for a different audience. All ready they have back pedalled, they have lost their way.

    #22 10 months ago
  23. pcbros

    I think it’s funny how analysts are talking about how two systems that have not even been released will have sold in 5 years.

    I’d love to know what the formula they used, especially when we are talking about personal preferences.

    #23 10 months ago
  24. Professor Zoom

    #23 Don’t worry about Microsoft, believe me, they will do just fine, people keep complaining, first they compalined about all download, online authnetication and forced camera, now when all that is gone, they like to complain about the 180′s, just screw the goddamn Sony fanboys, they can’t afford the extra 70$ to get the best sytem, so they will do whatever they want in order to make themselves look better, Sony launched their PS3 last time for a 550$ price, fat and ugly design and did just fine after a few years. You can’t expect all consoles to be alike, just shup up and wait and see what happens. if Nintendo could get away with forcing their motion control crap to people and even sell 5 times better than before, then why wouldn’t Microsoft? Microsoft had the strongest line up of games of the whole E3, and that’s what’s gonna make people pay the extra 70$ to get whole system that has all the games, appeals to everybody and that doesn’t just offer mediocore games in addition with old first party franchises (Nintendo). What did Sony have that Microsoft didn’t have?

    Titanfall’s gonna be epic, it is the best rated game of E3, exclusive for Xbox and with exclusive deals for games like Madden, Fifa and Battlefield, and with both old and brand new and exclusive franchises like Titanfall, D3, Ryse, Halo 5, Forza Motorsport 5, Fable Legends, Sunset Overdrive, Dead Rysing 3, Project Spark and Killer Instinct, I think the Microsoft lineup is stronger than ever.

    #24 10 months ago