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Analysts – Infinite slip could allow for 2012 GTA V release

Wednesday, 9th May 2012 20:48 GMT By Stephany Nunneley

Wedbush Securities has said in its latest note that BioShock Infinite’s delay “opens the window for Grand Theft Auto V to be released in October 2012.”

The firm also said an October release would make sense as Rockstar has scheduled every prior GTA releases during that month, with the exception of with GTA IV which was delayed into April 2008 “due to bugs in the PS3 version.”

It is being speculated by analysts at the firm once Rockstar notified Take-Two GTA V would be ready by October, the company gave Irrational Games the “option to spend more time fine-tuning BioShock Infinite.”

“Although we were confident that both games would sell millions of units when it appeared that they would be released in close proximity, we think that the delay will alleviate any wallet-share
concerns and ensure that both games receive the undivided attention of Take-Two’s management and marketing teams, and will ensure that retail support is optimized,” said the note.

Wedbush also said that since Take-Two did not “update its prior FY13 guidance,” despite its history of “providing conservative guidance,” the analysts are “skeptical Take-Two can achieve FY13 earnings guidance without a GTA game.

Upon release, the analysts expect GTA V to sell at least 18 million units, which represents a “20% attach rate to the 2012 year-end installed base of PS3 and Xbox 360 in the US and Europe.”

The firm closed by saying it expects an update on the release of GTA V as early as May 22 when Take-Two provides its Q4 FY12 results, or during E3.

“If there is no update on either date, we believe it is unlikely that GTA V will launch this calendar year,” it said.

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16 Comments

  1. Moonwalker1982

    Analysts stating the obvious. But nothing is certain, we’re gonna have to wait and see.

    #1 2 years ago
  2. Maximum Payne

    @1 Actually he said that before infinite was delayed.

    #2 2 years ago
  3. Pytox

    May 2013 mark my words

    #3 2 years ago
  4. JRNO

    My first thought as well.
    Wish I got paid for my observations.

    #4 2 years ago
  5. Johnny Cullen

    October. Seriously, watch it go into October. You’ll see it in the Take Two financials in a few weeks and see GTA V in FY 2013. That’ll be the first sign.

    #5 2 years ago
  6. Erthazus

    I’m not sure.

    GTA V is big and requires a serious polish. Game like this will be released when it is ready, so next year probably.

    #6 2 years ago
  7. Moonwalker1982

    2013 sounds so damn late, it will be what…two years since the debut trailer then? Nah. At the same time…both Max Payne 3 and GTA V in one year? Time will tell.

    #7 2 years ago
  8. thesamy

    this is 1 of the only games who got no compition.
    i mean it dosnt metter when it come out or how it come out it will sell a lot with no problem but even with rockstar knowing that they still keep the qulity very high not like activion and thire studios with call of kaka.

    #8 2 years ago
  9. NeoSquall

    @7 well, they just announced that crews and feuds from Max Payne 3 will be available in GTA V makes it very likely.

    #9 2 years ago
  10. Moonwalker1982

    @9

    But that news about crews from MP3 in GTA V is like a month old now :D

    #10 2 years ago
  11. sb319

    This is all horseshit, of course.

    #11 2 years ago
  12. TD_Monstrous69

    @11, not horse shit, but more like a no shit sherlock statement to me. Though seeing as how Infinite’s been delayed, this definitely does add some credence to their prediction. If a new trailer’s released for GTA V this month, then I definitely think it’ d be coming this fall, mainly because that’d tell me Rockstar’s operating within their usual MO. Also, GTA San Andreas came out around the same time in which Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter predicted GTA V would come out (Oct. 2004, October 23, 2012, the 1st one being when GTA SA came out, the 2nd one being Pachter’s predicted date), and seeing as how GTA V’s locale is based in one of the cities from San Andreas, can’t help but think of the high probability of it being true. But as always, no one will ever truly know until more info’s unveiled.

    #12 2 years ago
  13. nani17

    I don’t think rockstar has realesed two games in the same year. Well at least on next-gen conolses

    #13 2 years ago
  14. StolenGlory

    Would love to be proven wrong on this, but I think everybody who doesn’t have a sensationalist streak in their psyche, should probably be working on the assumption of an early 2013 release.

    GTA V has had a single trailer which released in November 2011 (just over six months ago) and we’ve seen total dick on the game since. I really have a hard time believing that Rockstar would get the game out less than a year after it’s initial reveal.

    It’s just not in their DNA.

    #14 2 years ago
  15. nofear360

    What @14 said. Also, since BioShock Infinite comes out in February, that still puts it within fiscal 2013. Why do the analysts then expect Take-Two to adjust their earnings guidance (if GTA V is not to come out until after the end of fiscal 2013, so May 2013 calendar year)?

    Also, having both BioShock Infinite and GTA V come the same calendar year is completely within the realms of possibility. Infinite in fiscal 2013, GAT V in fiscal 2014 – great for Take-Two and it makes investors happy that each fiscal year will have a big hit.

    #15 2 years ago
  16. schnide

    @8

    Genuinely, is English your first language?

    #16 2 years ago

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