Kinect will sell 3 million units this Christmas, says Greenberg

Careful, Aaron. You might end up buying 2.8million of those yourself.

2.9 million is more like it, Blerk.

I think it’s going to do fine at launch… But it will tail off quickly in my opinion. Next Christmas is going to be the barometer. Will it still be relevent then?

Anyone even considered getting this? my pro 360 cost less than this!

You know, as much as this thing can flop.

they have monstrous marketing campaign + JUSTIN BIEBER and

not bad games the announced at TGS in my opinion.

The TGS games are more interesting (they could hardly be less interesting!) but not enough to make me actually want one.

@5 – Did they show any gameplay of these new games? I’ve been trying to find out how the fuck Steel Battalion will work.

@7 They didn’t but few games sounds really awesome. I think next E3 and TGS they will show finally something.

This will succeed just because its Microsoft they will make it succeed with thier marketing.

@9 Well, every employee will be made to buy one, so thats what, 90,000 on day one

Kinect will hit 3 mil easily by Christmas, the yanks are consumers and Microsoft knows how to feed them

I agree it will sell fairly well at holiday/launch. But I figure its gotta trail off fast. It really doesn’t matter what games it does or doesn’t have. And yes marketing matters. But in truth it is no where near casual/mass market pricing.

If it was say 80/usd w/game, I would say we have a winner.

But as it is, a lot of fence sitters will convince themself its crap because they can’t or won’t spend that much on it.

balls it will

Worldwide… yeah I’d say it’s got a pretty good chance. If even 1/4 of the 360s sold in November / December are bundles than that’s already nearly a million Kinect sold.

The product and the possible future games “sound interesting”……. the problem is that it only “sounds” so far : nothing actually shown looks interesting (the Harry Potter game on rail ? oh come on…).

Problem is, there is a risk that it will sell well, unfortunately, with people then not buying any games (in the different companies I’ve worked in, almost anyone had a Wii, especially people who don’t play games, and they only bought like 2 or 3 games in total and let the console take dust on a shelf).
Microsoft’s target is not the core, their target are the people who don’t own a 360 yet (see their bundle with a 360 + Kinect)… and with their strategy, they might manage to get more people to get the 360.

I hope they don’t, otherwise, we will see tons of developers create and release rushed games like many we can see on the Wii, unfortunately

I am still curious to see how it’s going to implement into people’s homes. Put a webcam on top of your TV and see if you can get your full body into the picture. You need to stand a long way back.

@get2sammyb
You’d assume it would have some serious wide-angle lenses your average webcam wouldn’t though.

Edit: PS3 Eye has two modes for example, one zoomed in and one wide.

If 23 million x360-owners are so stupid to pay for p2p-gaming, I’m sure at least 3 million of them will be so stupid to spend 150 euro on Kinect.

Why does Amazon.com says that Kinect will be released on October 5, 2010? http://www.amazon.com/Kinect-Sensor-Adventures-Xbox-360/dp/B002BSA298/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&s=videogames&qid=1284685634&sr=8-2

@19 Because their release date is obviously wrong.