Michael Pachter and Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson both offered their predictive take on tomorrow’s NPD numbers, by citing how much of a percentage Modern Warfare 2 contributed to November’s total game sales.
Pachter said that the title made up 23 percent of total game sales, but Wilson said that it contributed 25 percent.
“Modern Warfare comprises an estimated 25 percent of this month’s industry sales,” said Wilson. “While this is not out of the ordinary for a tent-pole title in a non-holiday month, it is impressive given our forecast that this November’s sales will match the month’s highest historical total on record.
“For comparison, Halo 2 reached 20 percent of industry sales in November 2004. The next highest share taker was Guitar Hero III at 12 percent in November 2007.”
Wilson predicted that November software sales will come in at around $1.45 billion year-over-year, and Pachter predicted a 7 percent jump over November 2008’s $1.55 billion.
Guess we’ll see tomorrow who was closest.