Tue, Oct 07, 2008 | 19:05 BST

EEDAR estimates show big bump for 360 in US

EEDAR’s released its software and hardware estimates for September, showing what it expects to be a significant bump for 360. PS3′s in last place, according to the firm, although the list doesn’t include PS2.

And the crystal ball says:

Hardware

DS – 600,000
Wii – 600,000
Xbox 360 – 320,000
PSP – 235,000
PS3 – 215,000

Software

Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – 360 – 505,000
Rock Band 2 – 360 – 465,000
FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD – Wii – 450,000
Mercenaries 2: World in Flames – 360 – 350,000
PLAY W/ REMOTE – Wii – 275,000
MARIO KART W/ WHEEL – Wii – 275,000
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – Wii – 245,000
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – PS3 – 230,000
MADDEN NFL 09 – 360 – 177,220
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – PS2 – 175,000

Thanks, GoNintendo.

EEDAR makes August hardware estimates, puts PS3 ahead of 360

Pachter underestimates 2008 game sales, re-estimates them

Famitsu estimates Wii overtook PSP in Japan last week

17 comments

Psychotext
07/10/08, 7:14 pm

I can’t see the PS3 just doing 215k. Not in a 5 week period.

I haven’t done my predictions yet so I can’t post them for comparison. Maybe tomorrow.

patlike
07/10/08, 7:29 pm

I have no idea this month. It’s got to be a big jump for 360, and I can’t see what would have made the difference to PS3, so I’m sure a 360 lead’s along the right lines.

morriss
07/10/08, 7:40 pm

Psycho: what are you’re predictions actually based on? Out of interest.

Psychotext
07/10/08, 8:32 pm

Trends mostly. Anecdotal evidence on supply / sales as well. Especially supply for the Wii. Plus obviously price cuts / promotions.

Like for instance this month I’ll look at how 09/07 compared to 08/07 and how 08/07 compared to 08/08… as well as how the machines are trending this year as a general rule.

Psychotext
07/10/08, 11:20 pm

All done. Here’s mine:

[360] 339K
[NDS] 615K
[PS2] 175K
[PS3] 243K
[PSP] 285K
[WII] 530K

morriss
07/10/08, 11:23 pm

The numbers are very specific though: like 329k. I mean, why not 328 or 340? What’s the maths behind the madness?

Psychotext
07/10/08, 11:29 pm

Weekly numbers, multiplied, etc. Mathematical formulas etc.

I usually start off with a wide range of numbers and then massage them until they feel just right. They look odd because I base them off percentage changes in sales.

No_PUDding
07/10/08, 11:41 pm

I am not part of maths. So piss off!

I do think your Wii prdictions are a bit high. Dunno why. (hope maybe?)

So I mean, how well is that actually for the 360? This should be the sales spike and it’s 140,000 up on last month. Not even double.

I dunno, I also think your PS3 predictions are generous to say the least.

EDIT: Just noticed, basically, I am a pessimist this month all round.

morriss
07/10/08, 11:45 pm

Psycho: Is this a hobby?

/starts to slowly back away

#10

Psychotext
07/10/08, 11:46 pm

Hobby? No. I do it for a monthly competition.

Pud: My Wii predictions are actually a little on the low side compared to what I’ve seen elsewhere but I reckon they’re going to start keeping stock back for xmas now. I think the PS3 will get a slight increase over last month because there was a bit of a stock issue with the old models running out before the new ones hit store shelves in any great number.

#11

morriss
07/10/08, 11:49 pm

What do you win?

#12

Psychotext
07/10/08, 11:51 pm

Nothing special, couple of games… but I find it interesting as I’m a stats head anyway.

Maybe if I’m lucky I’ll become Pachter’s boss.