RSS
EEDAR’s released its software and hardware estimates for September, showing what it expects to be a significant bump for 360. PS3’s in last place, according to the firm, although the list doesn’t include PS2.
And the crystal ball says:
Hardware
- DS – 600,000
- Wii – 600,000
- Xbox 360 – 320,000
- PSP – 235,000
- PS3 – 215,000
Software
- Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – 360 – 505,000
- Rock Band 2 – 360 – 465,000
- FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD – Wii – 450,000
- Mercenaries 2: World in Flames – 360 – 350,000
- PLAY W/ REMOTE – Wii – 275,000
- MARIO KART W/ WHEEL – Wii – 275,000
- Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – Wii – 245,000
- Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – PS3 – 230,000
- MADDEN NFL 09 – 360 – 177,220
- Star Wars: The Force Unleashed – PS2 – 175,000
Thanks, GoNintendo.
Viewing 17 responses
Psychotext said:
I can’t see the PS3 just doing 215k. Not in a 5 week period.
I haven’t done my predictions yet so I can’t post them for comparison. Maybe tomorrow.
patlike said:
I have no idea this month. It’s got to be a big jump for 360, and I can’t see what would have made the difference to PS3, so I’m sure a 360 lead’s along the right lines.
morriss said:
Psycho: what are you’re predictions actually based on? Out of interest.
Psychotext said:
Trends mostly. Anecdotal evidence on supply / sales as well. Especially supply for the Wii. Plus obviously price cuts / promotions.
Like for instance this month I’ll look at how 09/07 compared to 08/07 and how 08/07 compared to 08/08… as well as how the machines are trending this year as a general rule.
Psychotext said:
All done. Here’s mine:
[360] 339K
[NDS] 615K
[PS2] 175K
[PS3] 243K
[PSP] 285K
[WII] 530K
morriss said:
The numbers are very specific though: like 329k. I mean, why not 328 or 340? What’s the maths behind the madness?
Psychotext said:
Weekly numbers, multiplied, etc. Mathematical formulas etc.
I usually start off with a wide range of numbers and then massage them until they feel just right. They look odd because I base them off percentage changes in sales.
No_PUDding said:
I am not part of maths. So piss off!
I do think your Wii prdictions are a bit high. Dunno why. (hope maybe?)
So I mean, how well is that actually for the 360? This should be the sales spike and it’s 140,000 up on last month. Not even double.
I dunno, I also think your PS3 predictions are generous to say the least.
EDIT: Just noticed, basically, I am a pessimist this month all round.
morriss said:
Psycho: Is this a hobby?
/starts to slowly back away
Psychotext said:
Hobby? No. I do it for a monthly competition.
Pud: My Wii predictions are actually a little on the low side compared to what I’ve seen elsewhere but I reckon they’re going to start keeping stock back for xmas now. I think the PS3 will get a slight increase over last month because there was a bit of a stock issue with the old models running out before the new ones hit store shelves in any great number.
morriss said:
What do you win?
Psychotext said:
Nothing special, couple of games… but I find it interesting as I’m a stats head anyway.
Maybe if I’m lucky I’ll become Pachter’s boss.
morriss said:
hehe. I knew it! You’re certified!
Psychotext said:
Not sure I follow.
No_PUDding said:
I still think the Wii is levelling off a bit. I don’t think numbers will be insane this Christmas.
Psychotext said:
Ahh Pud… you do keep trying to convince yourself it’s a fad don’t you?
No_PUDding said:
YES
Wii will ruin gaming.
EDIT: I do not midn casual games at all, but I do take issue with them eradicating the support the hardcore titles used to receive from developers.